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5 Reasons for Stock Market Optimism in 2025: Strong Earnings Growth- company earnings are the fundamentals that drive stock prices. And the average estimate is 50% HIGHER for 2025 than the past 10 years. Demographics- like it or not, demographics drive the fate of countries. YOUNGER = BETTER. Good thing for the U.S., our median age is significantly lower than the other developed nations around the world. Interest Rate Cuts- the really important part here, is there’s a ton of room to cut rates, in the event it’s needed. This alleviates a fair amount of downside risk to that market. If it were to get nasty, DON’T WORRY, THE FED WILL HAVE YOUR BACK. Money Markets- $7 trillion, record money market dollars… If rates continue downward, will that look for a new home in stocks!? Our New President- Trump LOVES the stock market and has shown a strong desire for it to do well- therefore he creates policy accordingly. With those points as the wind in the sail of the S&P 500… What will the S&P 500 return in 2025?! Let me know your forecast! #stocks #stockmarket #sp500 #economics #politics #interestrates #earnings #moneymarkets #investing #investor #finance

Duration: 70 sPosted : Tue, 07 Jan 2025 19:03:36

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The State of the U.S. Jobs Market. Non-Farm Payroll vs. Household Survey Regardless which jobs data you look at, both are softening. But the Household Survey began weakening much earlier than the Non-Farm Payroll. The Household Survey last month went into contractionary phase- with NEGATIVE JOBS GROWTH. And if you back out the jobs added by the government themselves, it’s MEANINGFULLY NEGATIVE. Might not shock you, but the government doesn’t speak much about that data series- EVEN THOUGH the response rate from respondents is almost 2x higher than the Non-Farm Payrolls. There’s no perfect way to collect data- but info like this gives rise to the populus opinion that the jobs market isn’t as strong as what the government is telling us. Friday’s number will be important- it WILL MOVE MARKETS. Hit the follow for my no BS analysis. #jobs #labormarket #unemployment #economics #investing #investor #finance #stocks #stockmarket #government #politics

Apple Stock has been the DARLING investment over the past couple decades… But there’s an old saying, ‘Trees don’t grow to the sun’- and apples growth has stalled… And in fact, overall sales/revenue growth have gone negative… Has Apple’s stock gone down?! NOPE. 75% higher since sales growth went negative. WHY?! It’s hard to explain outside of passive/index investing. With Apple being the largest constituent of the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ index, investors buying those indexes buy more Apple than any other company- pushing the price higher. Does it make sense?! Warren Buffett doesn’t think so. What do you think?! Let me know. #apple #aapl #applestock #techstocks #nasdaq #spy #sp500 #passiveinvesting #indexinvesting #stocks #stockmarket #investing #investor #finance

Santa Claus delivered Coal this year for Christmas. It’s not very common the S&P 500 is negative in December- typically it’s one of the best years for the month. Here’s what a negative December may portend for stocks in 2025. Let me know your thoughts. #stocks #sp500 #stockmarket #markettrends #historicaldata #marketanalysis #investing #investor #finance #cfp #wallstreet

What to expect out of the S&P 500 in 2025. 25% years don’t come back to back very often- as investors we should all celebrate that this year over the holidays! In fact, it’s only happened 3 times in history. The experience after each of the prior 3 experiences, is a bit of a crapshoot. 1x killer returns (1999) 1x modestly positive returns (1956) 1x brutally negative returns (1937) Broad takeaway when looking at the 5 year period following the blockbuster returns, it’s not great. Don’t get greedy heading into 2025 and chase returns- stay disciplined (or get disciplined) and DIVERSIFY #stocks #stockmarket #sp500 #finance #investing #investor #invest #economics #history #cfp #wallstreet